Three Reasons to Distrust the Rally By Gary B. Smith About this article: We're exactly at a long-term downtrend; the QQQ needs a rest. . The percent of NYSE stocks above their 40-day moving average is another warning sign. Valero has gone parabolic but no need to sell, yet. Or, call us at 1-866-321-TSCM (8726) Monday-Friday, 8 a.m.-6 p.m. ET. Outside the U.S. and in Canada, call 1-212-321-5200.

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