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A New High Doesn't Mean 'Buy'

By Harry Schiller

About this article:
Maybe you can't believe in the Tooth Fairy or Santa, maybe the Lakers won't win the title this year, but some things are pretty dependable, and in this market, that's where I want to place my bets: on those patterns that recur over and over and over again. One such pattern is for the market to pull back to the prior highs after making a (higher) new recovery high. We saw that happen just yesterday after Monday's moonshot to new highs for 2009 on that much-ballyhooed pop above the 200-day moving average. On Tuesday, the SPX was closing in on the 950 level, almost 20 points above the May 8 highs at 930.17. From there, no surprise, the SPX would sell off back down to those prior highs at the 930 level and in fact almost fill the gaps from Monday's opening. Almost, but so far...

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