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Insiders vs. Shorts, Plus Valuation

By Tim Melvin

About this article:
We are now into the third week of football season here in the U.S. I am, as readers may know, an avid sports fan, and this naturally extends to the gridiron. I love to spend the weekend watching college ball on Saturday and the pros on Sunday and Monday. I love a good contest. This extends to the stock market, as well, and has provided me with a screen that has turned up some explosive winners over the years. First, as always, I start with valuation. I never deviate from valuation and margin of safety first, no matter what other inputs I may use to find stocks. The first part of this screen is stocks that sell below tangible book value. To see a contest emerge, I then screen for insider ownership at high levels combined with a high short ratio. The short-sellers think the stock...

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