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Silver Won't Shelter You

By Howard Simons

About this article:
It's like trying to find gold in a silver mine... -- Elton John and Bernie Taupin I have not written on silver since March 2005, even though both the commodity and silver-mining stocks have risen and fallen substantially since then. Let's redress that right now and see what has been going on with the white metal. First and foremost, silver has taken a beating in recent months, as have nearly all physical commodities. It has lost 50.4% of its value on a rolling-contract basis from its high on the date of the Bear Stearns bailout, March 17, 2008, through Dec. 12, 2008. Gold, in contrast, has fared better with a loss of only 19.1%. The only physical commodity in the Reuters/Jefferies CRB index to gain over that period has been live hogs, which after years of admonition have been the bulls on Wall Street and may one day...

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